Blog · MIS and management reporting
Budget, actual and forecast in one place
Three numbers, usually in three systems, reconciled by hand each month. What it takes to hold them together so the variance is a fact.
Short answer: the reason budget-versus-actual takes a week is not the comparison. It is that the three numbers live at three different levels of detail, in three places, and somebody reconciles them by hand before anyone can look at a variance.
Where the time actually goes
The budget was built by department, in a workbook, months ago. The actuals come out of the ledgers, by account, by entity. The forecast is a third file, usually owned by whoever last updated it.
Nobody spends the week analysing. They spend it making the three comparable — and then the review starts, on numbers assembled under time pressure by one person, which is exactly when a mapping error is least likely to be caught.
Hold them at the same grain
If the budget is set against the same management lines the actuals map to, the comparison is arithmetic rather than a project. That usually means budgeting against the management chart of accounts rather than against a spreadsheet layout invented for the budget cycle.
It is a constraint on how the budget is captured, and it is the whole difference between a variance you can look at on day two and one you look at on day nine.
Keep the budget fixed and the forecast moving
The approved budget stays where it is all year. The forecast updates. Both remain visible against the actual, so the two useful questions stay answerable at any point:
- How far are we from what was approved?
- How far are we from what we last expected?
A forecast that overwrites the budget removes the first question entirely, which is the one the board usually asks.
Decide the threshold before the numbers arrive
A variance rule set in advance — by percentage, by absolute amount, or both — turns a review of forty lines into a review of five. Set afterwards, it becomes an argument about which lines get discussed.
The same rule can raise the flag itself, so the exceptions arrive rather than being hunted for.
What good looks like
- One set of management lines, used by the budget, the actual and the forecast
- The approved budget preserved and visible all year
- A variance threshold agreed in advance and applied without exception
- Every variance openable to the ledgers underneath it
FINK holds budget, actual and forecast together on the same lines, and alerts raise the variances that breach the threshold you set. The value calculator gives an indicative figure for what your current cycle costs, worked out from your own answers.
Part of MIS and management reporting. Management reporting that does not agree with the statutory numbers is the commonest argument in a monthly review. These posts are about closing that gap.
Questions
Commonly asked
Why do budget and actual so often fail to compare?
Because they were built at different levels. The budget was set by department in a spreadsheet, the actuals arrive by ledger from the books, and somebody maps one to the other each month. The mapping is where the month goes.
Should the forecast overwrite the budget?
No. The budget is what was approved and it should stay visible all year. A forecast that quietly replaces it removes the only fixed point the variance is measured against.
How much variance is worth explaining?
Set the threshold in advance and apply it. A rule agreed before the numbers arrive is the difference between a review that looks at the five lines that matter and one that walks through forty.
Related
Budget vs actual vs forecast
Compare budget, actual and forecast, with a common-size budget builder and scenario modelling.
Alerts
Threshold and anomaly alerts on the numbers that matter, and a warning when a sync fails rather than a silently stale report.
What is this worth to you?
Answer questions about your entities, your systems and the days your close takes today, and get a report with the working shown.
Your MIS chart of accounts is not your statutory one, and that is fine
The board wants the business cut, the filing wants the statutory cut, and the same ledgers must produce both. How to hold two views, one set of books.
Cost allocation you can defend in a board meeting
Every allocation is an opinion. The ones that survive questioning have a basis fixed before the result, applied the same way every month.